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• Comment Link Sabato, 15 Ottobre 2022 14:35 posted by https://ies.ed.gov

  By Scott Murdoch
  
  HONG KONG, Oct 13 (Reuters) - Hong Kong dealmakers expect China's 20th
  Party Congress next week to herald a shift in focus in Beijing back towards business and economic issues that
  could help revive the city's IPO issuance from nine-year lows.
  
  
  Rolling COVID-19 lockdowns have been blamed for dramatically slowing China's economic growth, shutting
  it off from the rest of the world and denting investors' appetite to buy into Chinese assets.
  
  
  
  Any shift towards opening China's borders and stimulating demand there would prop up
  confidence and business transactions, lawyers and analysts said.
  
  
  Hong Kong only recently began its own reopening, relaxing its tough virus policies which have tarnished its credentials as a global
  financial centre.
  
  "Hopefully, the global economic situation will improve next year and I expect to see a greater focus on business and economic issues in China after the 20th party congress," said Richard
  Wang, Freshfields partner in Hong Kong, adding that should lead to more companies looking to raise capital.
  
  
  Initial public offering (IPO) activity in Hong
  Kong, which is traditionally dominated by mainland companies, has fallen to a nine-year
  low amid tumbling Chinese markets, escalating
  Sino-U.S.
  
  tensions and a tightening regulatory environment in China.
  
  
  
  International listing ambitions have been put on ice since China flagged
  new rules, which are yet to be finalised, for companies wanting to sell shares
  outside of the mainland markets.
  
  There has been just $9.28 billion worth of IPOs in Hong Kong this year, down from $37.1
  billion in the same period in 2021, according to Refinitiv figures.
  
  
  The value of new share sales is the lowest since 2013.
  
  Moreover, more than 80% of the IPOs in Hong Kong this year are trading under water since their debut,
  according to Dealogic data.
  
  Mainland Chinese IPOs have raised $54.12 billion, down 33% from $80.89 billion in the first
  three quarters of 2022, according to Refinitiv data.
  
  
  However, Shanghai's STAR and the Shenzhen exchange are the two most
  active IPO markets in the world, the data showed.
  
  
  "People are expecting that things will open up after the meeting but in terms of timing when you will see that, it will not be an overnight change," said Stephanie Tang,
  a partner at law firm Hogan Lovells.
  
  "How that will evolve, there's no one determining factor but the reasonable expectation is that we will see deal activity progress from late 2022 towards the springtime in 2023."
  
  Most economists, however, doubt Chinese policymakers will
  offer any concrete signals soon of a relaxation of the zero COVID policy or a roadmap for
  border reopening.
  
  COVID infections are at the highest level since August and there's an estimated 36 cities under lockdown or some form of
  control ahead of the meeting beginning on Sunday.
  
  Greater policy certainty in areas such as technology and education could
  only become clear following the annual two sessions
  of China's parliament in March, lawyers said.
  
  (Reporting by Scott Murdoch; Editing by Anshuman Daga)
  
  
  
  
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